Will they or will they not? Will MEPs be asked whether they will extend the current lockdown restrictions in England? Although these measures are expected to expire on December 2nd, Matt Hancock said at the nation’s news conference yesterday that it was “too early to know“If they had worked.
The government After locking, it is planned to revert to the tiered locking system. But that could change too. At the same press conference as Hancock, Susan Hopkins of Public Health England tossed a wrench into the job when she said there was “little effect from Tier 1” and the government may need to “think about buffing the levels” of bringing us through the winter months until the vaccine is available to everyone. “
Despite some encouraging statistics on the nation’s fight against Covid – Intensive care units have fallenAccording to Carl Heneghan, Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine at Oxford University, the hospitals are “normally busy”. There are signs that the government will play it safe when it comes to imposing further restrictions.
There was the fact that Rishi Sunak recently expanded the vacation program so that it will last until March. More recently, a newspaper printed emails George Pascoe-Watson, Portland Communications chairman, who had advised Dido Harding and James Bethell on strategy and communications, said he was “privately notified that Tier 2 restrictions will be imposed on London at least until spring next year . ”
In short, it would not be unreasonable to make the following prediction (depending on hospital stays at a manageable level): the government will let the lockdown lapse (thereby keeping its promise and avoiding the hassle of an approved renewal), but then parts of the country move to Tier 2, 3 or 4 (as has just been imposed on 11 municipalities in Scotland) – with the measures in place until spring. As a result, many will feel like they are de facto banned.
One reason the government may feel encouraged to uphold the restrictions is because of the news of two vaccines, as well as the knowledge that mass tests are being developed rapidly. It’s a lot easier to ask people to “sit tight” when they know an exit strategy is on the way.
One group that will be a major headache for the government is the Anti-Lockdown-Covid Recovery Group (CRG). whose members will vote on the next restrictions. The CRG has grown steadily and is now close by Reportedly 70 members. Depending on how much bigger that number gets and what restrictions the government is next to impose, it may have to increasingly call Labor to get the vote.
And it’s not just the idea of a national lockdown that the CRG is speaking out against. Its members are also skeptical of softer restrictions; or at least they want them to be justified. Mark Harper, chairman of the CRG, has described some of the previous Covid-19 measures as “arbitrary” and the group is unlikely to ease pressure from a vaccine. Steve Baker, its vice chairman, said, “We need to find a more sustainable way to live our lives until a vaccine is introduced.” For the CRG, days, weeks, and months are too long to wait for Pfizer to come to the rescue.
The Main demand of the group is that the government is more transparent with information about the cost of the lockdown. She wants a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of the restrictions on a regional basis and a release of the models by the government, informing the policy, so that the public can see for themselves. In short, the CRG is trying to put the burden of proof on the government to explain why it is imposing any restrictions – as opposed to MPs who have to campaign to get them off.
As Harper tells me, “When the government comes up with its proposals for what follows the lockdown, it needs to show that for any restriction it wants to introduce, the good of the restriction outweighs the harm, both for health reasons Perspective and an economic perspective. “
With December 2nd approaching the holiday season, the pressure will be all the greater on the government to explain the reasons for each series of restrictions as even more store closings could signal their end. MPs will also receive more information on how the government’s mass testing programs are going – one of the most important ways to reopen the economy until the vaccine arrives.
Interestingly, the government might be on the verge of running into something Difficulties that are not so dissimilar to those of Angela Merkel in Germany. Merkel wanted to tighten the German restrictions, but could not win the support of the country’s heads of state. Therefore, she had to postpone the relevant decision-making. Just as public support for the lockdown could be stressful, so is MPs, in essence, too.
Either way, the next few weeks will be interesting to say the least.